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Mesoscale Discussion 851
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0851
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1139 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023

   Areas affected...West Central/Northwest Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234...

   Valid 240439Z - 240615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will progress across the
   remainder of ww234 over the next several hours. Wind/hail threat
   continues. Local extensions or a small severe thunderstorm watch may
   be warranted.

   DISCUSSION...Weak mid-level disturbance that drifted into the
   southern High Plains this afternoon appears partly responsible for
   the MCS that evolved over the TX South Plains early this evening.
   This complex of storms has matured into a large conglomerate of
   convection that extends across much of the central/western portions
   of ww234. Northwesterly flow at mid levels should aid southeastward
   propagation along the instability axis, which extends into the
   northern Hill Country. While some hail is noted in the stronger
   updrafts, convective mode favors strong winds, especially along the
   leading edge of the MCS where where bow-type structures continue to
   develop at times. At this time it appears the strongest convection
   will continue to drive toward the southeastern portions of the
   watch.

   ..Darrow.. 05/24/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   31140078 34460078 34159805 30829804 31140078 

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