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Mesoscale Discussion 861
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MD 861 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0861
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1037 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023

   Areas affected...far eastern New Mexico and northwestern Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236...

   Valid 250337Z - 250530Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236

   SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW236. Potential for large
   hail, damaging wind, and a tornado or two continues.

   DISCUSSION...An increase in the low-level jet has been noted in
   observations from KMAF and KLBB over the last couple of hours. An
   intense embedded supercell feature continues to move southward along
   the axis of strong MLCAPE within deep-layer shear around 50 kts.
   This has continued to produce strong gusts to around 60 mph and
   large hail around 1-2 inches. A thunderstorm just south of this has
   intensified quickly and will be merging with the larger complex. The
   threat for a tornado or two continues, as increasing low-level flow
   has led to more hodograph curvature in the bottom 1-2 km of noted at
   KLBB. This could be further aided by near storm
   interactions/mergers. Further development continues to be ongoing to
   the west of the lead cell, with potential for further training
   transient supercell development into the evening.

   ..Thornton/Edwards.. 05/25/2023

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   34530166 34270119 33970114 33450138 33170156 32930177
               32830216 32820238 32830276 32900307 33010334 33150364
               33280372 33900388 33980388 34080393 34170396 34200397
               34470400 34670377 34830348 34940302 34960274 34820219

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