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Mesoscale Discussion 862 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0862
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1138 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023
Areas affected...Eastern New Mexico...West Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236...
Valid 250438Z - 250615Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236
continues.
SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms continue to affect areas west of
Lubbock along the New Mexico/Texas border. This activity will
persist for several more hours, although the overall severe threat
will likely slowly diminish through 2am CDT.
DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery shows multiple supercell
thunderstorms over parts of Roosevelt County NM and Bailey, Lamb,
and Cochran Counties TX. These storms are moving slowly
south-southeastward at 10-15 knots, and have had a history of very
large hail and damaging wind gusts earlier this evening. The
activity is along the northern edge of the stronger southeasterly
low-level jet, which should maintain convection for several more
hours. However, slow diurnal cooling will result in stabilization
and eventual decoupling of surface-based parcels. While occasional
bouts of large hail and damaging winds will be possible for several
more hours, climatology and recent CAM/WoFS runs suggest the more
organized threat may begin to wane by 2am CDT.
..Hart.. 05/25/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ...
LAT...LON 34340377 33930254 33510214 32860222 32890289 33220327
33620353 34340377
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