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Mesoscale Discussion 862
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MD 862 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0862
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1138 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023

   Areas affected...Eastern New Mexico...West Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236...

   Valid 250438Z - 250615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236

   SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms continue to affect areas west of
   Lubbock along the New Mexico/Texas border.  This activity will
   persist for several more hours, although the overall severe threat
   will likely slowly diminish through 2am CDT.

   DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery shows multiple supercell
   thunderstorms over parts of Roosevelt County NM and Bailey, Lamb,
   and Cochran Counties TX.  These storms are moving slowly
   south-southeastward at 10-15 knots, and have had a history of very
   large hail and damaging wind gusts earlier this evening.  The
   activity is along the northern edge of the stronger southeasterly
   low-level jet, which should maintain convection for several more
   hours.  However, slow diurnal cooling will result in stabilization
   and eventual decoupling of surface-based parcels.  While occasional
   bouts of large hail and damaging winds will be possible for several
   more hours, climatology and recent CAM/WoFS runs suggest the more
   organized threat may begin to wane by 2am CDT.

   ..Hart.. 05/25/2023

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   34340377 33930254 33510214 32860222 32890289 33220327
               33620353 34340377 

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