Mesoscale Discussion 1349
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0752 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023

   Areas affected...portions of southeast Wyoming into northeastern
   Colorado

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 419...

   Valid 300052Z - 300215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 419 continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe hail threat will persist with the more intense
   storms over the next few hours before a gradual weakening occurs
   this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Large hail continues to be reported with ongoing
   multicells and transient supercells across southeast WY into
   northeastern CO. A recent uptick in convective coverage and
   intensity has been noted in far southeast WY, where southward
   sagging outflow has encouraged localized convergence for initiation.
   However, much of this airmass is becoming overturned, and the severe
   hail threat may only persist for a few more hours in an organized
   fashion. The supercell in Arapahoe County, CO and surrounding
   convection may persist longer into the evening with a severe
   hail/wind threat given the presence of stronger buoyancy and
   relatively less MLCINH out in the warm sector (per 00Z
   mesoanalysis). Furthermore, MRMS mosaic MESH data suggests 2+ inch
   hail is falling from the Arapahoe county storm, and this general
   area continues to have the best chance at seeing additional
   significant-severe hail over the next couple of hours.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/30/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   39680441 40620531 41380573 41890601 42020583 41850438
               41680381 41240345 40540310 40090301 39770310 39600391
               39680441