Mesoscale Discussion 1791
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0515 PM CDT Thu Aug 01 2024

   Areas affected...Central/eastern KY into southeast IN...southwest
   OH...and northern TN

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 588...

   Valid 012215Z - 012345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 588
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging wind will move eastward into
   early evening. Downstream watch issuance is possible.

   DISCUSSION...A long-lived MCS currently moving across central KY
   continues to show signs of organization, with a well-defined cold
   pool and evidence of a relatively strong rear-inflow jet from
   regional VWPs. However, recent measured gusts have generally been
   subsevere, in the 35-45 kt range. While relatively weak low-level
   flow and deep-layer shear may continue to limit severe-wind
   potential to some extent, very warm, moist, and unstable downstream
   conditions (with MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg) will continue to support
   a threat of at least isolated damaging wind as this MCS continues
   eastward into the early evening. As the MCS approaches the eastern
   edge of WW 588, downstream watch issuance will be possible,
   especially if there is any uptick in measured gusts and/or overall
   organization and intensity of the system.

   ..Dean/Smith.. 08/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...

   LAT...LON   39258548 39338447 38998333 38198274 36958326 36208445
               36258577 36438693 36638744 36938755 37318647 37978556
               39258548