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Mesoscale Discussion 66 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0066
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0851 AM CST Fri Jan 14 2022
Areas affected...Southeast North Dakota...eastern South
Dakota...Southwest Minnesota...Most of Iowa...and far eastern
Nebraska.
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 141451Z - 141745Z
SUMMARY...Mostly moderate snow with occasionally heavy snow and
rates up to 1 inch per hour expected. Some mixed precipitation
possible across mainly eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa.
DISCUSSION...A broad region of isentropic ascent is present across
the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. As a result, a precipitation
shield has developed and will persist for much of the day. A dry
low-level airmass is in place, as evidenced by the OAX and TOP 12Z
RAOB which is limiting the overall precipitation rates, especially
across eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa. The column is expected
to continue to saturate through the day which should lead to a more
uniform precipitation shield by this evening. A mix of freezing rain
and sleet is occurring across southeast South Dakota, eastern
Nebraska and southwest Iowa. Continued low-level warm air advection
is expected to increase surface temperatures a few degrees and thus,
the icing threat is expected to diminish with mostly rain across
southeast Iowa and Nebraska and moderate snow developing to the
northeast. Heavier snowfall rates in excess of 1 inch per hour are
most likely later today across portions of central and southern Iowa
as the moisture profile improves.
..Bentley.. 01/14/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...FGF...FSD...OAX...ABR...
LAT...LON 46069786 46359711 46469645 46379591 45919531 44519376
42069229 41449256 41369302 40889420 40899537 41459628
42539694 43959744 45059811 45669827 46069786
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