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Mesoscale Discussion 102
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0102
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0820 PM CST Fri Feb 02 2024

   Areas affected...portions of northern into central Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 13...

   Valid 030220Z - 030345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 13
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across northern parts of
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch 13, over central into northern TX.
   Damaging gusts appear to be the main threat with a squall-line
   moving across the region.

   DISCUSSION...A squall line has become established from Wichita to
   Kimple Counties in TX and is progressing eastward amid a marginally
   sheared and buoyant airmass (i.e. 30+ kts of effective bulk shear
   and 500+ J/kg MLCAPE). Surface temperatures have cooled into the
   lower 60s F. However, the 00Z FWS observed sounding suggests
   convective inhibition is negligible (despite a thin CAPE profile),
   with a hodograph characterized by enlarged low-level curvature and
   some elongation. As such, isolated damaging gusts may still
   accompany the squall line for at least a few more hours. A brief
   QLCS tornado also cannot be ruled out with any embedded mesovortices
   that can become established within the squall line.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   30799921 31049919 31669894 32759860 33619835 33889790
               33219746 32139771 31199815 30949841 30729909 30799921 

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