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Mesoscale Discussion 123
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0123
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1135 AM CST Wed Feb 01 2023

   Areas affected...north-central Texas...northwest Texas...and
   portions of Southwest Texas

   Concerning...Freezing rain 

   Valid 011735Z - 012130Z

   SUMMARY...Light to moderate freezing rain will persist into the
   afternoon from north-central Texas to near Abilene and east of
   Midland.

   DISCUSSION...A band of relatively concentrated precipitation has
   developed from west of San Angelo to northern Texas. This is forming
   in a zone of weak frontogenesis and warm air advection around 700mb.
   This will favor heavier precipitation rates in this corridor through
   the afternoon. The heaviest rates are expected by late afternoon as
   frontogenesis strengthens and focuses in this region. The last
   several HRRR runs suggest a mesoscale corridor of total QPF in
   excess of 0.75 inches. Observations this morning have shown a mix of
   sleet and freezing rain, but this is expected to transition to
   mostly freezing rain this afternoon as the cold air becomes more
   shallow. Icing is expected across most of this region with more
   significant icing possible where any banding can develop later this
   afternoon/evening.

   ..Bentley.. 02/01/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   32279987 31340090 30670155 30630181 30840188 30930209
               31080224 32160156 32870098 33479954 33739759 33729649
               33469581 33059609 32679708 32359869 32279987 

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Page last modified: February 01, 2023
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