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Mesoscale Discussion 129
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MD 129 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0129
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0520 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

   Areas affected...southwestern Kansas and portions of the
   Oklahoma/northern Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 242320Z - 250015Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A line of shallow convection was producing 40-45 knot wind
   gusts across southwestern Kansas over the past half hour.  These
   gusts - though mostly sub-severe, may continue through sunset.

   DISCUSSION...Strong forcing for ascent/cooling associated with a
   vigorous wave over Colorado was aiding in forced, shallow convection
   along a band located from near GCK southwestward to EHA.  A few
   lightning strikes have been noted with this activity, suggesting
   that updrafts/downdrafts are strong enough to encourage occasional
   gusty winds despite negligible buoyancy indicated in point forecast
   soundings/mesoanalysis.  Given continued sunshine/heating out ahead
   of the convective band and continued southeastward progression of
   the wave, it is possible that occasional sub-severe wind gusts will
   continue through sunset.

   ..Cook.. 02/24/2020

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   36350280 36020262 35720189 35840103 36220013 36609963
               37159907 37609898 37949913 38139962 38070024 37850090
               37390139 36350280 

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