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Mesoscale Discussion 141
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MD 141 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0141
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0252 AM CST Tue Mar 03 2020

   Areas affected...much of Mississippi into western Alabama

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 030852Z - 031115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Clusters of storms are likely from central Mississippi
   into Alabama through morning. Isolated severe weather is possible.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms continues to gradually increase
   over central MS where warm/moist advection is creating lift beneath
   rising heights aloft. Despite this, midlevel temperatures remain
   relatively cool, aiding MUCAPE values. In addition, ample mid to
   upper winds remain in place to provide shear to the developing

   Storms are expected to increase in coverage as they develop
   east/northeastward across MS and into AL. The most likely threat
   would appear to be localized strong wind gusts as the storms grow.
   Tornado risk should remain low as SRH decreases with time, but 35-40
   kt winds at 850 mb and turning with height could aid brief areas of
   rotation near the stronger storms, augmenting wind gusts.

   ..Jewell/Thompson.. 03/03/2020

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   32589014 33049041 33839058 34319040 34648974 34838795
               34538751 33938745 33318763 32728793 32138840 32038901
               32168982 32258996 32589014 

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