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Mesoscale Discussion 234
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0234
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0511 PM CDT Sun Mar 24 2019

   Areas affected...Central/southern Missouri and southern Illinois

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 32...

   Valid 242211Z - 250015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 32
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues in WW32 with large hail as the
   primary threat. Storms should continue moving east over the next 3-4
   hours.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple severe warned storms have developed within
   WW32 along/ahead of a cold front in central/southern Missouri. Large
   hail continues to be the primary severe threat with cold air aloft
   and mostly unidirectional shear through the vertical profile
   yielding around 40-50 knots of effective bulk shear. Damaging wind
   gusts remain possible, but as daytime heating begins to wane,
   low-level lapse rates will diminish limiting this threat.
   Additionally, a brief, weak tornado is possible, but low-level flow
   is relatively weak and surface winds are mostly south-southwest
   limiting SRH. Storms should continue moving east across
   central/southern Missouri into southern Illinois through 03z. As the
   cold front slides southeast, the severe threat will diminish across
   WW32 from west to east through the evening.

   ..Nauslar/Thompson.. 03/24/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

   LAT...LON   36489349 36579358 36849347 37279312 37949256 38659197
               38789150 38859067 38918954 38838880 38688858 38368852
               37968865 37388892 36958934 36648968 36509013 36499186
               36489349 

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