Click-to-scroll-up Image
Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 386
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 386 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0386
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0444 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024

   Areas affected...Southeast AR into northern MS and southwest TN

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 082144Z - 082345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated large hail will remain possible through early
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered strong storms have developed this afternoon
   along the northern periphery of returning low-level moisture from
   southeast AR into northern MS and southwest TN. Low/mid 60s F
   dewpoints spreading northward into a region where temperatures have
   already warmed well into the 70s F has resulted in MLCAPE rising to
   1000-1500 J/kg. Effective shear of 40-50 kt and elongated hodographs
   will remain supportive of supercell structures, with large hail as
   the primary short-term threat. Coverage of the threat will likely
   remain rather isolated, but one or two cells may be capable of
   producing hail in the 1.5 - 2 inch diameter range, as recently noted
   east of Memphis. Watch issuance is unlikely, unless coverage of
   hail-producing supercells becomes greater than currently
   anticipated.

   ..Dean/Hart.. 04/08/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   34599199 35489005 35928899 36078804 35898759 35618753
               35198785 34838840 34189033 33729192 33879235 34599199 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: April 19, 2024
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities