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Mesoscale Discussion 585
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0585
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1126 AM CDT Thu May 31 2018

   Areas affected...eastern KY into far western VA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 311626Z - 311730Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Some gusty winds are possible with storm cluster moving
   east/southeast across eastern KY toward far western VA this
   afternoon. The overall threat appears marginal at this time.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms in the Bluegrass region of eastern
   KY will continue to track east/southeast this afternoon. Deep layer
   shear across the region remains light, but continued destabilization
   and increasing DCAPE values will be adequate for some stronger wind
   gusts. LEX recently saw a peak gust to 35 kt and potential exists
   for some marginally severe gusts through the afternoon, especially
   if the cluster can become better organized. At this time, the
   overall threat appears marginal and a watch is not imminent.
   However, trends will be monitored into the afternoon hours for any
   increase in intensity/organization.

   ..Leitman/Hart.. 05/31/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

   LAT...LON   38528460 38518416 38298330 37578251 37138253 36858272
               36718303 36598338 36628411 36778460 37248510 37778531
               38138509 38528460 

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Page last modified: May 31, 2018
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