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Mesoscale Discussion 710
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0710
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0611 PM CDT Mon Jun 11 2018

   Areas affected...western Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 112311Z - 120145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated storms capable of hail and wind are possible
   across western Oklahoma this evening, but a watch is unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...Visible imagery shows a substantial CU field across
   western OK where hot temperatures have removed CIN along the
   dryline. Meanwhile, robust low-level moisture remains in place with
   southeasterly surface winds. The result is very strong instability,
   and a zone of uncapped air. Surface convergence near the dryline may
   be sufficient for a few storms this evening, with weakly veering
   winds with height supporting a south or southwestward motion. Hail
   and locally damaging wind will be possible should storms initiate.

   ..Jewell/Hart.. 06/11/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...

   LAT...LON   36949814 35589840 34919868 34739911 34659946 34839983
               35169993 35689968 36319930 36719902 36939876 37059842
               36949814 

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Page last modified: June 12, 2018
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