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Mesoscale Discussion 876
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0876
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0533 PM CDT Fri May 26 2023

   Areas affected...Central High Plains

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 240...

   Valid 262233Z - 270030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 240

   SUMMARY...Damaging winds will be the primary threat from parts of
   eastern Colorado into southeast Wyoming and the Nebraska Panhandle.
   Isolated large hail and perhaps a brief tornado are also possible,
   especially with more discrete storms.

   DISCUSSION...Convection has become more linear across eastern
   Colorado into southeastern Wyoming. A few discrete elements remain
   in southeastern Colorado where effective shear is greater. Though
   upper-level forcing is modest, storms should be able to propagate
   into a moist, unstable airmass in the High Plains. Damaging winds
   (most likely 45-55 kts) will be the main concern. Discrete storms in
   southeastern/east-central Colorado could also produce isolated large
   hail. Low-level southeasterly winds and a slight increase in 850 mb
   winds this evening will help to maintain moisture in the region and
   provide just enough hodograph curvature for a brief tornado or two.
   Activity will likely persist for a few more hours before
   encountering less unstable conditions in western Kansas/Nebraska.

   ..Wendt.. 05/26/2023

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   38200290 38020311 37920363 38040384 38240399 38350445
               38560483 39130495 39330478 39560468 40020455 40450454
               40930478 41480484 41650477 41970409 41890348 41370314
               39850297 38200290 

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