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Mesoscale Discussion 878
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0878
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0718 PM CDT Fri May 26 2023

   Areas affected...Southeastern Montana

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 242...

   Valid 270018Z - 270215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 242
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Despite some decrease in buoyancy, a modest increase in
   shear into Montana may allow for a brief increase in some storm
   intensities over the next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...Semi-discrete convection continues to the north into
   southeastern Montana. Modest diurnal cooling has already been noted
   on recent surface observations. Storms, however, are moving into an
   environment with nominally greater shear. Over the next 1-2 hours,
   some activity could see a brief uptick in intensity. Large hail and
   isolated strong/damaging winds would be a possibility. Unless
   greater cold pool organization occurs, storms should steadily
   decrease in intensity as further surface stabilization occurs into
   the later evening.

   ..Wendt.. 05/27/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...UNR...BYZ...GGW...

   LAT...LON   45030779 45900809 46800733 46910563 46060426 45100437
               44660504 44610609 44620703 44680731 44710745 45030779 

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Page last modified: May 27, 2023
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