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Mesoscale Discussion 902
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0902
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0426 PM CDT Tue May 24 2022

   Areas affected...Southeast NM...TX South Plains

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268...

   Valid 242126Z - 242300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe threat will spread across the eastern half of ww268
   over the next several hours.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered post-frontal convection that initiated along
   the eastern slopes of the NM Rockies around mid day has gradually
   expanded in areal coverage as it propagates southeast toward the TX
   South Plains. This activity is evolving in advance of a digging
   mid-level jet that will spread into west-central TX later this
   evening. Latest radar trends, and large-scale support aloft, suggest
   an MCS may evolve over the next few hours then mature as it spreads
   over the northern portions of SJT CWA. Numerous updrafts are likely
   producing at least marginally severe hail along the southeast NM/TX
   border, and with time the threat for damaging winds may increase as
   this complex transitions into an MCS.

   ..Darrow.. 05/24/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   32270452 34290453 33230071 31200072 32270452 

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