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Mesoscale Discussion 908
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0908
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0325 PM CDT Wed Jun 27 2018

   Areas affected...Northern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 272025Z - 272200Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms are expected this evening.
   These storms will be capable of producing large hail and damaging
   winds.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has developed in far northern
   Minnesota this afternoon. While the best convergence and forcing
   from the mid-level vorticity max will be further north, there may be
   enough convergence along the front and enough influence from the
   passing upper wave to trigger a few storms further south along the
   front. Effective shear of 40 to 50 kts and MLCAPE around 1500 J/kg
   per 20Z RAP mesoanalysis support supercells as the primary storm
   mode. Given the straight hodograph, a few storm splits are possible
   as well. Considering the limited storm coverage and marginal threat
   from any storms that develop, a severe thunderstorm watch is not
   anticipated at this time.

   ..Bentley/Thompson.. 06/27/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...

   LAT...LON   48639304 48659322 48619345 48549354 48549376 48659381
               48689423 48759431 48799460 48449481 47869524 47579544
               47149585 46799610 46469612 46419561 46379526 46399446
               46649413 46839380 47209342 47589312 48149306 48589300
               48639304 

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Page last modified: June 27, 2018
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