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Mesoscale Discussion 927 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0927
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0159 PM CDT Thu May 26 2022
Areas affected...Florida Panhandle
Concerning...Tornado Watch 274...
Valid 261859Z - 262100Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 274 continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for localized damaging wind gusts and/or a
brief tornado may continue into late afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Persistent convection has evolved into two north-south
oriented clusters from the northeast Gulf of Mexico into the FL
Panhandle. Extensive cloud cover continues to inhibit heating across
inland areas, though some modest destabilization has occurred near
the coast immediately downstream of both ongoing clusters.
Generally unidirectional southerly flow is noted in the KTLH VWP in
advance of the eastern cluster, so favorable low-level shear will
generally be confined to areas near the outflow-reinforced
baroclinic zone where surface winds have more of an easterly
component. Somewhat stronger southwesterly flow aloft is noted on
the KEVX VWP, upstream of the western cluster. This may allow for
somewhat greater large-scale organization with this cluster, though
the storms with stronger low/midlevel rotation may tend to remain
just offshore. In general, the threat for isolated damaging wind or
a brief tornado will continue near the coast, but likely remain
relatively limited in magnitude. WW 274 has been locally extended
until 21Z to cover any remaining threat.
..Dean.. 05/26/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
LAT...LON 29238517 29438623 30298621 30738619 30758524 30298370
29418404 29238517
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