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Mesoscale Discussion 1023
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1023
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0622 PM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022

   Areas affected...eastern New Mexico into much of western Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 304...

   Valid 032322Z - 040315Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 304

   SUMMARY...The threat for large damaging hail persists across the
   watch, along with isolated severe gusts. Storms may eventually
   spread east this evening east of the watch.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered slow-moving cells are ongoing across eastern
   NM, with a recent increase in intensity along the TX Panhandle
   border. Steep lapse rates aloft as well as 35-40 kt deep-layer
   effective shear will continue to favor hail through early evening.
   Isolated severe gusts are also possible.

   Visible imagery shows a well-defined CU field across southwest TX
   and into southeast NM. This is within the objectively analyzed
   MUCAPE axis where there is little inhibition. Given ongoing cells
   over southeast NM, this may prove to be a favorable corridor for
   several hours into tonight, and an additional watch could be needed
   this evening as trends warrant.

   Otherwise, the southeasterly 850 mb flow this evening may tend to
   counteract increasing inhibition over the Panhandle and South
   Plains, supporting at least isolated hail and wind threat near the
   eastern bounds of the watch.

   ..Jewell.. 06/03/2022

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   30490288 30740394 31450440 32290445 34550462 36000368
               36930279 36910197 36660154 36190115 35630094 35040098
               34600147 33710155 33020152 32120134 31070033 30550052
               30370098 30490288 

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