|Mesoscale Discussion 1023|
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Mesoscale Discussion 1023
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0622 PM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022
Areas affected...eastern New Mexico into much of western Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 304...
Valid 032322Z - 040315Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 304
SUMMARY...The threat for large damaging hail persists across the
watch, along with isolated severe gusts. Storms may eventually
spread east this evening east of the watch.
DISCUSSION...Scattered slow-moving cells are ongoing across eastern
NM, with a recent increase in intensity along the TX Panhandle
border. Steep lapse rates aloft as well as 35-40 kt deep-layer
effective shear will continue to favor hail through early evening.
Isolated severe gusts are also possible.
Visible imagery shows a well-defined CU field across southwest TX
and into southeast NM. This is within the objectively analyzed
MUCAPE axis where there is little inhibition. Given ongoing cells
over southeast NM, this may prove to be a favorable corridor for
several hours into tonight, and an additional watch could be needed
this evening as trends warrant.
Otherwise, the southeasterly 850 mb flow this evening may tend to
counteract increasing inhibition over the Panhandle and South
Plains, supporting at least isolated hail and wind threat near the
eastern bounds of the watch.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
LAT...LON 30490288 30740394 31450440 32290445 34550462 36000368
36930279 36910197 36660154 36190115 35630094 35040098
34600147 33710155 33020152 32120134 31070033 30550052
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