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Mesoscale Discussion 1091
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1091
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0320 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024

   Areas affected...Central to southeast TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358...

   Valid 310820Z - 310945Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358

   SUMMARY...A severe wind threat will persist through daybreak with a
   bowing QLCS and expand into parts of east-central to southeast
   Texas. An additional severe thunderstorm watch is expected to parts
   of the Southeast Texas Coastal Plain. Wind gusts of 50-65 mph will
   remain likely with localized enhancements of 65-80 mph possible.

   DISCUSSION...A bowing QLCS has accelerated in forward motion across
   central TX to around 45-50 kts, with measured wind gusts to 62 mph
   reported thus far. This eastward surge along the northeast portion
   of the QLCS will likely persist into east-central TX before it
   impinges on remnant stratiform rain and greater low-level stability
   over northeast TX.

   A secondary bowing surge may eventually emanate out of the trailing
   southwest portion of the QLCS. Persistent deep convection here is
   about to impinge on the warmer/more moist boundary-layer west of
   Austin. This may similarly begin to intensify and surge
   southeastward through the greater Austin area and eventually towards
   the Houston Metro area. With favorable low-level inflow and
   pronounced enhancement to rearward flow based on time-series of DYX
   VWP data, it is appears likely that an organized QLCS will continue
   towards the southeast TX Coastal Plain through daybreak.

   ..Grams/Thompson.. 05/31/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   32199761 32139718 32049667 31899597 31599518 30999481
               30529474 30209479 29609506 29349671 29949799 30239870
               30679920 30969887 31209796 31469773 32199761 

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