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Mesoscale Discussion 1133
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1133
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0345 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024

   Areas affected...central/southeast Texas into southern Louisiana

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 022045Z - 022215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms are possible this evening
   from central Oklahoma to southern Louisiana.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have started to develop in a region of strong to
   extreme instability (3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE) which extends from
   central Texas to southwest Louisiana. These storms are on the
   periphery of better mid-level flow and more favorable shear for
   supercells. Therefore, if any more robust updrafts can develop, they
   may mature into supercells with the potential for large hail and
   severe wind gusts. The relatively isolated nature of the greater
   severe threat should mitigate the need for a watch, but one may be
   needed if multiple sustained storms develop.

   ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/02/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   31669800 32079764 32159612 31959487 31419348 30679258
               30339223 29859197 29529228 29919405 30219545 30649677
               31009756 31669800 

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