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Mesoscale Discussion 1261
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1261
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0535 PM CDT Wed Jun 22 2022

   Areas affected...Parts of northern and central West Virginia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 402...

   Valid 222235Z - 230000Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 402

   SUMMARY...Potential for wind damage will continue into
   northern/central West Virginia over the next few hours. The main
   threat will be with a cluster near the southeastern
   Ohio/northwestern West Virginia border.

   DISCUSSION...A small cluster has moved into central West Virginia,
   though it has been weakening during the last 15 minutes. This
   particular activity has cooled the airmass slightly per recent
   observations. However, the cooling has not been prohibitive for
   addition convection in southeast Ohio to increase in intensity over
   the same time frame. The activity in southeastern Ohio will pose the
   greatest risk for damaging wind gusts at it moves southeastward.
   While effective shear is only around 20 kts currently, a modest
   increase may occur this evening as the upper-level ridge retrogrades
   farther west. So long as thermodynamics remain favorable, clusters
   of storms could become marginally more organized.

   ..Wendt.. 06/22/2022

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   39228274 39758197 39648114 39057996 38557985 38218000
               38078090 38238166 38458194 38638223 39228274 

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