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Mesoscale Discussion 1382
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1382
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0748 PM CDT Sun Aug 02 2020

   Areas affected...Southeast Colorado...Far Southwest Kansas...Far
   Northwest New Mexico...Western Oklahoma Panhandle...Far Northwest
   Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 411...412...

   Valid 030048Z - 030245Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 411, 412
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe threat will likely continue for a couple more
   hours across parts of southeast Colorado and northeast New Mexico.
   The threat could impact parts of far southwest Kansas and the
   western Oklahoma Panhandle later this evening. But the potential for
   severe is expected to be too localized for weather watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a cluster of
   strong thunderstorms in far northeast New Mexico with another strong
   thunderstorm located in southeast Colorado. This activity is located
   along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability with the
   RAP analyzing MLCAPE in far southeast Colorado near 2000 J/kg. In
   addition, the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP has 45 kt of 0-6 km shear. This
   environment should support an isolated severe threat for a couple
   more hours. Hail and marginally severe wind gusts will be the
   primary threats. Any severe potential is expected to diminish as
   instability drops across the region later this evening.

   ..Broyles.. 08/03/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   37590403 36540383 36260368 36190350 36150315 36260257
               36580196 37090143 37620137 38160179 38510272 38480342
               38340386 37950407 37590403 

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Page last modified: August 03, 2020
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