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Mesoscale Discussion 1543
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1543
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1214 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2023

   Areas affected...Portions of northern MS...Middle TN...and northern

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 141714Z - 141945Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts are possible through the
   afternoon. A watch is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...A loosely organized cluster of storms is tracking
   eastward across parts of the Mid-South ahead of an MCV. While
   deep-layer flow/shear is not particularly strong, some flow
   enhancement associated with the approaching MCV may support briefly
   organized updrafts embedded within the larger cluster of storms.
   Ahead of these storms, efficient heating of a very moist air mass
   (upper 70s/lower 80s dewpoints) is yielding strongly unstable
   surface-based inflow (characterized by increasingly agitated HCRs
   streaming across the region). Isolated damaging gusts are possible
   with this activity through the afternoon -- especially with any
   localized clusters that develop.

   ..Weinman/Bunting.. 07/14/2023

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   34728914 34438998 34309037 34149060 33719079 33109068
               32879045 32668984 32638877 32648780 32908703 33358652
               34098620 35428598 35918612 36208645 36388717 36318746
               36068786 35228848 34728914 

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