Mesoscale Discussion 1626
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0236 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

   Areas affected...Central and Southeast North Dakota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536...

   Valid 150736Z - 150930Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and severe gusts will continue to
   be possible for at least a couple more hours across parts of central
   and southeastern North Dakota.

   DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows an MCS across
   central and southeastern South Dakota, where a cluster of strong to
   severe storms is ongoing. The cluster is located along a
   northwest-to-southeast gradient of moderate instability extending
   across central and southeastern North Dakota. The storms are being
   supported by large-scale ascent associated with a subtle shortwave
   trough, evident on water vapor imagery. The latest WSR-88D VWP at
   Bismarck has 0-6 km shear near 70 knots, owing mostly to strong
   speed shear in the lowest 6 km. This is expected to support
   continued cell organization within the MCS over the next couple of
   hours. Large hail and isolated severe gusts will be the primary
   threats.

   ..Broyles.. 07/15/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...

   LAT...LON   47129729 47579825 47669871 47689917 47509961 47279995
               46929994 46609949 46249894 45969834 45939780 45949727
               46009684 46179654 46499652 47129729