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Mesoscale Discussion 1632
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1632
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0530 PM CST Wed Nov 07 2018

   Areas affected...southeast Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 072330Z - 080100Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind and brief tornado threat appears to
   have peaked with bowing segment moving through southern GA.
   Intensities are expected to begin a gradual decrease after 00Z.

   DISCUSSION...Organized line of storms with a bowing segment, comma
   head and embedded meso-vortices over south central GA continues east
   at around 40-45 kt. VWP data indicate a local enhancement to the
   wind profiles associated with the attendant MCV compared to model
   data. This activity will continue to pose a threat for isolated
   damaging wind and a brief tornado during the next hour. However,
   overall intensities are expected to decrease after 00Z due to a
   combination of nocturnal cooling as well as the influence of an area
   of showers and storms immediately downstream of the line. A brief
   spike in intensities might occur as the line merges with individual
   storms, but an eventual overall decrease is expected due to the
   stabilizing influence of the downstream area of rain/convection.

   ..Dial/Grams.. 11/07/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...

   LAT...LON   32228317 32648290 33028273 32958213 32658204 32118240
               31968288 32228317 

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Page last modified: November 08, 2018
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