Mesoscale Discussion 1782
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1129 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024

   Areas affected...Southeast Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585...

   Valid 010429Z - 010530Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A marginal wind-damage threat is expected to continue over
   the next 1 to 2 hours across southeast Minnesota. The threat should
   be too isolated for new weather watch issuance, and WW 585 will be
   allowed to expire at 06Z.

   DISCUSSION...Mosaic radar imagery currently shows a line of
   thunderstorms from far southern Minnesota into northeast Iowa. This
   line is located along the northern edge of a pocket of moderate
   instability. RAP analysis has MLCAPE across much of southeastern
   Minnesota in the 1000 to 2000 J/Kg range. As the line moves
   east-northeastward across southeast Minnesota over the next couple
   of hours, a severe wind gust will be possible. However, decreasing
   instability will likely contribute to any severe threat becoming
   more marginal with time.

   ..Broyles/Smith.. 08/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   44029168 44539239 44719315 44589387 44339411 43879406
               43559380 43509318 43489248 43519177 44029168