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Jan-29-2004 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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   SPC AC 291948
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0148 PM CST THU JAN 29 2004
   
   VALID 292000Z - 301200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E CRP NIR CLL 65
   NNE CLL SHV ESF BTR 35 SSE HUM.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...ERN/SERN TX AND WRN/SRN LA...
   CONVECTION IS ON THE INCREASE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE UPPER
   TX COAST AND THE SABINE RVR VLY MOST LIKELY AIDED BY A WEAK
   LOW-AMPLITUDE DISTURBANCE THAT HAS EJECTED NEWD AHEAD OF MAIN VORT
   CENTER MOVING THROUGH NRN CHIHUAHUA.  CHARACTER OF THE CLOUDS
   SUGGESTS THAT A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
   WITHIN ENHANCED ISENTROPIC LIFT...THOUGH LAPSE RATES ON NOSE OF THE
   EML ARE RATHER POOR.  ELEVATED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
   AND ALSO DEVELOP NEWD INTO SRN LA OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY AS UPSTREAM
   VORT MAX MOVES CLOSER TO THE REGION.  STRONGER TSTMS WILL REMAIN
   OFFSHORE OVER THE WRN GULF BASIN WHERE AIR MASS WILL BE MORE
   UNSTABLE. 
   
   ...SWRN TX...
   VSBL SATELLITE SHOWS ENHANCED CUMULIFORM CLOUDS DEVELOPING OVER THE
   MTS OF SWRN TX AND NRN CHIHUAHUA WHERE H5 THERMAL TROUGH IS
   COINCIDENT WITH STEEPER LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. ISOLD LIGHTNING WILL
   BE POSSIBLE AS THE VORT MAX MOVES SEWD INTO SWRN TX/NERN MX THIS
   EVENING...BUT SPARSE COVERAGE WILL PRECLUDE A GENERAL TSTM THREAT
   AREA.
   
   ..RACY.. 01/29/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0100Z
        
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