SPC AC 080543
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 PM CST SAT FEB 07 2004
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z.
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
THE UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS THE GRT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH THE CNTRL ROCKIES EARLY SUNDAY WHILE PHASING WITH A NRN
STREAM IMPULSE DROPPING THROUGH THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. ULTIMATELY
...THIS WILL RESULT IN THE EVOLUTION OF A LARGE SCALE POSITIVE TILT
TROUGH DOMINATING THE WRN TWO-THIRDS OF THE NATION BY EARLY MONDAY.
IN THE LOWER LEVELS...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING
TROUGH WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH THE PLAINS AND BY 12 UTC MONDAY WILL
EXTEND FROM LK SUP TO CNTRL OK TO SWRN TX.
STRENGTHENING ENTRANCE REGION OF A STRONG MIDLEVEL JET ON THE ERN
SIDE OF DEVELOPING LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL ENHANCE LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM
THE WRN GULF BASIN INTO THE SRN PLAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. RECENT
PENETRATION OF CP AIR MASS INTO THE SRN GULF SUGGESTS THAT MSTR
RETURN WILL INITIALLY BE WEAK. HOWEVER...INCREASING MOIST/WARM
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH/COLD FRONT WILL AT LEAST
CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASE IN ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS CNTRL/SRN TX
BY SUNDAY NIGHT. ISOLD TSTMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT THEY WILL
LIKELY BE SPARSE ENOUGH TO NOT INCLUDE IN A GENERAL TSTM RISK ATTM.
ELSEWHERE...TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
..RACY/GUYER.. 02/08/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1300Z
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