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Mar- 6-2004 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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   SPC AC 061953
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0153 PM CST SAT MAR 06 2004
   
   VALID 062000Z - 071200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE ORF 55 WSW ORF
   30 E DAN 35 SE PSK 20 SW BKW 35 N SSU HGR 15 NNE BDR 30 NE HYA.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE SUX 10 E OTG
   35 SSW STC 45 NNE GRR 10 N TOL 40 WSW DAY 55 ESE SUX.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...MID ATLANTIC AREA...
   SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD OFF THE CREST OF THE
   APPALACHIANS WITH AN ATTENDANT LINE OF TSTMS.  UPSTREAM UPPER
   IMPULSE OVER THE MID OH VLY WILL MOVE QUICKLY NEWD AND CONTINUE TO
   SUPPORT CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT FROM LONG ISLAND SWD INTO ERN VA
   THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING
   DOWNSTREAM...BUT INSTABILITY IS STILL MINIMAL AND DOWNSLOPE WLY FLOW
   WILL PROBABLY BE HOSTILE FOR ORGANIZED TSTMS.  GIVEN THE ALREADY
   STRONG GRADIENT WINDS...ONE OR TWO TSTMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...
   BUT OVERALL SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE LOW.  TSTMS WILL DIMINISH
   AND/OR MOVE OFF THE COAST LATER THIS EVENING.
   
   ...UPPER MS VLY TO THE MIDWEST...
   FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS WILL
   TRANSLATE SEWD TO THE MIDWEST OVERNIGHT.  DESTABILIZATION...OWING TO
   STEEPENING MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT...WILL BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES FROM THE UPPER MS VLY TO
   THE MIDWEST.
   
   ..RACY.. 03/06/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0100Z
        
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