SPC AC 061953
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0153 PM CST SAT MAR 06 2004
VALID 062000Z - 071200Z
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE ORF 55 WSW ORF
30 E DAN 35 SE PSK 20 SW BKW 35 N SSU HGR 15 NNE BDR 30 NE HYA.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE SUX 10 E OTG
35 SSW STC 45 NNE GRR 10 N TOL 40 WSW DAY 55 ESE SUX.
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...MID ATLANTIC AREA...
SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD OFF THE CREST OF THE
APPALACHIANS WITH AN ATTENDANT LINE OF TSTMS. UPSTREAM UPPER
IMPULSE OVER THE MID OH VLY WILL MOVE QUICKLY NEWD AND CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT FROM LONG ISLAND SWD INTO ERN VA
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING
DOWNSTREAM...BUT INSTABILITY IS STILL MINIMAL AND DOWNSLOPE WLY FLOW
WILL PROBABLY BE HOSTILE FOR ORGANIZED TSTMS. GIVEN THE ALREADY
STRONG GRADIENT WINDS...ONE OR TWO TSTMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...
BUT OVERALL SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE LOW. TSTMS WILL DIMINISH
AND/OR MOVE OFF THE COAST LATER THIS EVENING.
...UPPER MS VLY TO THE MIDWEST...
FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS WILL
TRANSLATE SEWD TO THE MIDWEST OVERNIGHT. DESTABILIZATION...OWING TO
STEEPENING MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT...WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES FROM THE UPPER MS VLY TO
THE MIDWEST.
..RACY.. 03/06/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0100Z
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