SPC AC 010100
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004
VALID 010100Z - 011200Z
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW
DRT 35 ENE SJT 55 WNW MWL 20 NW OKC 25 W PNC 45 W CNU 55 NNE JLN 15
WSW TBN 35 NNE UNO 30 W ARG 15 NW PBF 15 WSW ELD 15 NNW AUS 65 W
COT.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S
OWB 30 NE OWB 35 SW BMG 10 SE BMG 50 N SDF 10 SSE SDF 30 NE BWG 10
WSW BWG 35 S OWB.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW 3B1 20 SW ORH
25 E BDR ...CONT... 25 ENE ACY 30 WNW SBY 25 ESE RIC 30 NE RWI 15
ENE ILM.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW PSX 15 NW LRD.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW PFN DHN 20 NNE
TOI 30 NNW MGM 20 E TCL 15 SE CBM 50 WSW CBM 40 NNW JAN 35 W JAN 30
E HEZ 20 SSE MCB 40 NNE BVE.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S PBI 60 WSW MIA.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW P07 15 ESE FST
INK 40 W GDP 15 NE SVC 60 ESE SOW 35 NW GUP DRO 10 NE ALS 25 E RTN
45 ENE TCC 30 ENE AMA 20 W GAG 35 WSW RSL 35 WNW CNK 20 NW LWD CID
25 SSE OSC.
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SWRN TX INTO SWRN MO...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTH CENTRAL IND INTO
CENTRAL KY...
...SOUTH CENTRAL U.S...
LARGE SCALE ASCENT APPEARS TO BE SPREADING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS
THIS EVENING...PER RAPID INCREASE IN ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
NORTH OF COLD FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF OK AND SERN KS. THIS INCREASE IN
LARGE SCALE SUPPORT SHOULD ENHANCE MAIN BAND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM NORTHEAST OF THE METROPLEX...SWWD
INTO THE NRN HILL COUNTRY. AS THE FRONT PLUNGES SWD AND CAPPING
ERODES...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP BETWEEN JCT AND DRT BEFORE
SPREADING EWD. 00Z SOUNDING FROM DRT INDICATES VERTICAL
SHEAR/INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.
GIVEN THE POSITION OF THE UPPER SPEED MAX EJECTING ACROSS NCNTRL
TX...UPPER DIVERGENCE AND INCREASING LLJ SHOULD GENERATE A MARKED
INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NERN TX
INTO ERN OK AND WRN AR. LARGE HAIL WILL BE COMMON WITH MOST
STORMS...WITH AT LEAST LOW PROBABILITIES FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
ASSOCIATED WITH WARM SECTOR SUPERCELLS.
...IND/KY...
SQUALL LINE IS PROGRESSING EWD AT ROUGHLY 35KT ACROSS SWRN IND AND
CENTRAL KY. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS
ACTIVITY FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE CONVECTION ENCOUNTERS
INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT AND DIURNAL COOLING FORCES A
CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING.
..DARROW.. 05/01/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z
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