Skip Navigation Links www.nws.noaa.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
 
   

Search SPC
 

May- 1-2004 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
      
Probabilistic Graphics (more info)
Tornado Damaging Wind Large Hail
0100 UTC Tornado probabilities graphic   0100 UTC Damaging wind probabilities graphic   0100 UTC Large hail probabilities graphic
(Select thumbnails to view full images)
   SPC AC 010100
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0800 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004
   
   VALID 010100Z - 011200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW
   DRT 35 ENE SJT 55 WNW MWL 20 NW OKC 25 W PNC 45 W CNU 55 NNE JLN 15
   WSW TBN 35 NNE UNO 30 W ARG 15 NW PBF 15 WSW ELD 15 NNW AUS 65 W
   COT.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S
   OWB 30 NE OWB 35 SW BMG 10 SE BMG 50 N SDF 10 SSE SDF 30 NE BWG 10
   WSW BWG 35 S OWB.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW 3B1 20 SW ORH
   25 E BDR ...CONT... 25 ENE ACY 30 WNW SBY 25 ESE RIC 30 NE RWI 15
   ENE ILM.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW PSX 15 NW LRD.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW PFN DHN 20 NNE
   TOI 30 NNW MGM 20 E TCL 15 SE CBM 50 WSW CBM 40 NNW JAN 35 W JAN 30
   E HEZ 20 SSE MCB 40 NNE BVE.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S PBI 60 WSW MIA.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW P07 15 ESE FST
   INK 40 W GDP 15 NE SVC 60 ESE SOW 35 NW GUP DRO 10 NE ALS 25 E RTN
   45 ENE TCC 30 ENE AMA 20 W GAG 35 WSW RSL 35 WNW CNK 20 NW LWD CID
   25 SSE OSC.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SWRN TX INTO SWRN MO...
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTH CENTRAL IND INTO
   CENTRAL KY...
   
   ...SOUTH CENTRAL U.S...
   
   LARGE SCALE ASCENT APPEARS TO BE SPREADING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS
   THIS EVENING...PER RAPID INCREASE IN ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
   NORTH OF COLD FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF OK AND SERN KS.  THIS INCREASE IN
   LARGE SCALE SUPPORT SHOULD ENHANCE MAIN BAND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
   ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM NORTHEAST OF THE METROPLEX...SWWD
   INTO THE NRN HILL COUNTRY.  AS THE FRONT PLUNGES SWD AND CAPPING
   ERODES...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP BETWEEN JCT AND DRT BEFORE
   SPREADING EWD. 00Z SOUNDING FROM DRT INDICATES VERTICAL
   SHEAR/INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.
   
   GIVEN THE POSITION OF THE UPPER SPEED MAX EJECTING ACROSS NCNTRL
   TX...UPPER DIVERGENCE AND INCREASING LLJ SHOULD GENERATE A MARKED
   INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NERN TX
   INTO ERN OK AND WRN AR.  LARGE HAIL WILL BE COMMON WITH MOST
   STORMS...WITH AT LEAST LOW PROBABILITIES FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
   ASSOCIATED WITH WARM SECTOR SUPERCELLS.
   
   
   ...IND/KY...
   
   SQUALL LINE IS PROGRESSING EWD AT ROUGHLY 35KT ACROSS SWRN IND AND
   CENTRAL KY.  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS
   ACTIVITY FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE CONVECTION ENCOUNTERS
   INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT AND DIURNAL COOLING FORCES A
   CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING.
   
   ..DARROW.. 05/01/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z
        
Top/Latest Day 2 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home