Nov- 8-2004 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 8 00:29:52 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041108 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Tornado Graphic
20041108 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20041108 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Large Hail Graphic
20041108 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 080024
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0624 PM CST SUN NOV 07 2004
   
   VALID 080100Z - 081200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W SBA 15 NE BFL 50
   N NID 40 NNW DRA 20 S P38 20 ENE SGU 40 NNW GCN 30 ESE GCN 40 W SOW
   35 W SAD 15 SW DUG.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SWRN STATES...
   REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A BAND OF FAIRLY WIDESPREAD SHALLOW
   CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS WRN AZ WITHIN WARM CONVEYOR BELT
   ASSOCIATED WITH MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW APPROACHING THE FAR SRN CA
   COAST. FARTHER W...DEEPER...MORE CELLULAR CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WERE
   BEING OBSERVED NEAR THE NRN BAJA CA COAST /S OF SAN/ AND OVER SRN
   PORTIONS OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY WITHIN REGION OF COOLER MID-LEVEL
   TEMPERATURES /I.E. -20 TO -22 C AT 500 MB/ AND RESULTANT STEEPER
   MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. EXPECT GREATEST TSTM COVERAGE OVERNIGHT TO BE
   IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM EWD-MOVING MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW WHERE THE
   STEEPEST LAPSE RATES AND STRONGEST LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
   WILL BE CO-LOCATED. ADDITIONAL...MORE ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT MAY
   ALSO OCCUR FARTHER TO THE E ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ IN ASSOCIATION
   WITH WARM CONVEYOR BELT PRECIPITATION SHIELD.
   
   ..MEAD.. 11/08/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z