Nov- 8-2004 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 8 05:37:55 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041108 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Tornado Graphic
20041108 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20041108 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Large Hail Graphic
20041108 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 080533
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1133 PM CST SUN NOV 07 2004
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW GBN 55 NE YUM
   45 E DAG 40 S TPH 65 ESE U31 ENV EVW 35 SW RKS 15 NNW GUC 20 ESE 4SL
   45 ENE TCS 20 W ELP.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...DESERT SW...
   VIGOROUS MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY MOVING ONTO THE SRN CA COAST
   WILL TRANSLATE NEWD INTO THE GREAT BASIN...WHILE AN ACCOMPANYING
   BELT OF STRONGER SWLY FLOW DEVELOPS EWD ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES. AT
   THE SURFACE...ATTENDANT PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SLOWLY EWD
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF UT/AZ TODAY INTO WRN CO/NM TONIGHT.
   
   DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TODAY WITHIN
   PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS FROM THE AZ DESERTS NWD INTO SRN UT...IT
   APPEARS THAT INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK...EFFECTIVELY LIMITING ANY
   SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. NONETHELESS...DEGREE OF LARGE-SCALE FORCING
   AND MODEST LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT CLUSTERS
   OF TSTMS ALONG COLD FRONT AND/OR FAVORED REGIONS OF OROGRAPHIC
   ASCENT.
   
   ..MEAD.. 11/08/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z