Nov-12-2004 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 12 20:01:54 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041112 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Tornado Graphic
20041112 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20041112 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Large Hail Graphic
20041112 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 121956
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0156 PM CST FRI NOV 12 2004
   
   VALID 122000Z - 131200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE DAB PIE
   ...CONT... 10 WNW PFN 10 WSW AUO 25 SE CHA 45 WNW TRI 10 E BKW 10
   ENE CHO 25 ENE SBY.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW TUS 35 W GBN
   20 SSE EED 40 SW P38 40 NW ENV 30 SE BYI 50 W BPI 25 NE RKS 15 S COS
   35 NNW CDS 20 NW ABI 20 W JCT 15 SSE DRT.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...FL/GA/SC...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY CURRENTLY ACROSS THE SRN
   APPALACHIAN MTNS WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS GA AND SC THIS AFTERNOON. A
   LINE OF CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE MAIN VORTICITY MAX IS LOCATED ACROSS
   ERN GA AND SC. BEHIND THE LINE...SKIES HAVE PARTIAL CLEARED AND NEW
   CELLS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG A CONVERGENCE AXIS JUST AHEAD OF A COLD
   FRONT IN WRN GA. AS SFC HEATING CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON...ISOLATED
   TO SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AND MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SERN HALF
   OF GA AND PARTS OF THE FL PANHANDLE. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS
   MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR IN PLACE WITH RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY
   WHICH MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WITH THE STRONGER
   CELLS. LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEEPEN WHICH
   COMBINED WITH A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER MAY RESULT IN A MARGINAL WIND
   DAMAGE THREAT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE THREAT
   SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE STORMS MOVE EWD OFFSHORE DURING THE EVENING
   HOURS.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 11/12/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z