Dec-16-2004 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Dec 16 05:29:54 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041216 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Tornado Graphic
20041216 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20041216 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Large Hail Graphic
20041216 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 160523
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1123 PM CST WED DEC 15 2004
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z.
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...WRN GULF COAST...
   
   LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE WRN GULF OF
   MEXICO...WELL OFF THE TX COAST...AS SFC RIDGING MAINTAINS NLY
   OFFSHORE FLOW. DESPITE SUSTAINED WARM ADVECTION INTO SERN TX...IT
   APPEARS MARGINAL LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WILL ONLY ALLOW SHALLOW
   ELEVATED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ALONG NRN FRINGE OF WRN GULF WAVE. 
   AS A RESULT...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THIS REGION.
   
   ..DARROW.. 12/16/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z