SPC AC 250835
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0235 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2004
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE
   JAX 55 SSE CTY ...CONT... 25 W PFN 25 SSW CSG 55 NNW AYS 20 ENE SAV.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S HUM 45 W SEM 30
   ENE ANB 25 ESE AND 40 ESE CLT 20 SW GSB 10 WSW HSE.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S SDF PAH 35 ENE
   VIH 35 W SPI 45 ESE MMO 35 NE FWA 30 SE MFD 35 E CRW 15 SE 5I3 35 S
   SDF.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SE AL/SRN GA AND
   NRN FL...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD...PROGRESSIVE LARGE SCALE TROUGH WILL EVOLVE OVER THE WRN
   U.S. DURING THE NEXT 24 HRS AS SHORTWAVE IMPULSES NOW INVOF
   WA/ORE/ID AND BAJA CA PHASE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. THE
   COMBINED SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE E ACROSS THE PLNS AND MS VLY ON
   MONDAY...AND ASSUME A SLIGHT NEGATIVE TILT AS DOWNSTREAM HEIGHTS
   RISE ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC CST.
   
   AT THE SURFACE...LEE CYCLONE ASSOCIATED WITH WRN TROUGH...LIKELY TO
   BE OVER NRN OK AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...SHOULD DEEPEN AS IT
   HEADS NEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...DESPITE PRESENCE OF SHALLOW COLD AIR
   MASS OVER THE MID MS/LWR OH VLYS.  FARTHER SE...A WEAK SURFACE WAVE
   MAY DEVELOP ALONG EXISTING STALLED FRONT OVER AL/SRN GA. THIS
   BOUNDARY MAY EXPERIENCE SOME INTENSIFICATION BETWEEN NOW AND MONDAY
   AS PATTERN REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR STRONG COLD AIR DAMMING OVER THE
   ERN CAROLINAS/N GA.  THE WAVE SHOULD ACCELERATE E OFF THE CAROLINA
   CST MONDAY EVENING.
   
   ...SE AL/SRN GA AND N FL...
   LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM/SQUALL LINE NOW OVER LA/MS EXPECTED TO
   WEAKEN AND/OR BECOME STATIONARY OVER SRN AL/THE WRN FL PANHANDLE AND
   THE N CNTRL GULF BY EARLY MONDAY AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING OVERSPREADS
   REGION IN WAKE OF UPPER IMPULSE NOW EJECTING NE ACROSS THE SRN PLNS.
   
   
   AS SRN AL/S GA AND THE NWRN GULF EXPERIENCE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF
   NEGATIVE TILT TROUGH CROSSING THE LWR MS VLY...EXPECT THAT THE
   CONVECTIVE BAND WILL REINTENSIFY AND/OR THAT NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT
   WILL OCCUR OVER REGION.  ONSET OF FAVORABLY-TIMED DIURNAL HEATING
   CYCLE AND CONTINUED MOISTURE INFLUX AHEAD OF THE STORMS SHOULD BOOST
   SBCAPE TO NEAR 1000 J/KG OVER THE ERN FL PANHANDLE NWD/EWD INTO
   PARTS OF S GA AND N FL...DESPITE RELATIVELY WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES. COUPLED WITH ARRIVAL OF STRONGER WSW FLOW ALOFT /500 MB
   SPEEDS INCREASING TO AOA 70 KT/...SETUP SHOULD BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF
   A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITH SMALL SCALE BOWING SEGMENTS/ISOLATED
   TORNADOES.  THE NRN EDGE OF THIS THREAT SHOULD BE SHARPLY LIMITED BY
   COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH DAMMING OVER THE CAROLINAS NOSING SW INTO
   CNTRL GA.
   
   ANY SEVERE THREAT WHICH DOES DEVELOP SHOULD DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE
   DAY AS /1/ THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS AND /2/ REGION OF STRONGEST LOW
   LEVEL CONVERGENCE/INFLOW SWEEPS E OFF THE GA/CAROLINA CST.
   
   ..CORFIDI.. 01/25/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z