SPC AC 061727
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CST SAT MAR 06 2004
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW HSE 30 ENE FAY
15 N HKY 35 NW HSS 40 WSW LUK 35 W MIE JXN 40 WNW ERI 35 SE ELM EWR.
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH/VIGOROUS LARGE SCALE ASCENT MOVING
ONTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS TODAY WILL RAPIDLY MOVE SEWD AND AMPLIFY/
STRENGTHEN OVER THE UPPER OH VLY AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES ON
SUNDAY. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS GREAT LAKES WITH
SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING OFF THE VA COAST BY SUNDAY NIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE NRN PLAINS TODAY TO OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST BY 12 UTC MONDAY.
...MID/UPPER OH VLY AND MID ATLANTIC STATES...
LOW LEVEL PROFILES WILL BE COOL AND RATHER DRY ACROSS THE AREA...IN
WAKE OF TODAYS COLD FRONT...LIMITING THE INSTABILITY ALONG/AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT. NONETHELESS...MAGNITUDE OF PVA/FORCING AND
STEEPENING LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT BANDS OF TSTMS ALONG
THE FRONT ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
FARTHER WEST...UPSLOPE AND UNSTABLE FLOW BENEATH CORE OF MIDLEVEL
COLD POCKET WILL ENCOURAGE ISOLD DIURNAL TSTMS ACROSS THE MID/UPPER
OH VLY. THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE AREA...STRONGER UPDRAFTS MAY YIELD
SMALL HAIL/GRAUPEL GIVEN THE COOL TEMPERATURES PROFILES. THE RISK
OF SEVERE DOES NOT SEEM HIGH ENOUGH TO INTRODUCE SEVERE PROBS/
CATEGORICAL OTLK.
..RACY.. 03/06/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0800Z
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