SPC AC 060713
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0213 AM CDT TUE APR 06 2004
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E
   PSX 40 E CLL 25 ESE LFK 30 N ESF JAN 20 WSW MEI 65 SE MEI 10 NNE
   PNS.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E SVC 15 SSW DUG
   25 N PHX 25 E IGM 30 SE P38 55 NW MLF 25 NNW DPG 30 NNW OGD 45 SSW
   JAC 25 NE JAC 10 NE COD 45 E WRL 30 S DGW 15 WNW FCL 40 SW PUB LVS
   20 SSW 4CR 25 E SVC.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE CRP 30 S AUS 35
   SSE SEP 10 NW DAL 20 SSW DUA 40 WSW FSM 35 SE FYV 25 SW JBR MKL 30 W
   RMG 15 NNE ABY 15 ESE TLH.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SERN TX AND CENTRAL GULF
   COAST...
   
   ...SERN TX  AND CENTRAL GULF COAST...
   
   UPPER LOW CURRENTLY MOVING SLOWLY EWD INTO WRN TX WILL BY WED
   AFTERNOON BE OPENING INTO A TROUGH ACROSS SRN OK.  BAND OF 40-50KT
   MID LEVEL WINDS INITIALLY SOUTH OF UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS
   CENTRAL TX INTO LWR MS VALLEY BY WED NIGHT.
   
   SURFACE FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL BE WEAK WITH THE
   OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM TUESDAY NIGHT CONVECTION LIKELY BEING OF
   MOST IMPORTANCE TO FOCUS AFTERNOON SEVERE POTENTIAL.
   
   ETA KEEPS LOWEST PRESSURE OVER SCENTRAL TX...MAINTAINING S/SWLY
   BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW INTO SERN TX/SRN LA. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OFF WRN
   GULF WILL  THEN BE AVAILABLE WITH DEWPOINTS INTO UPR 60S F AND
   AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AROUND 80F.  MODEL SOUNDINGS ACROSS THIS AREA
   SUGGEST MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WITH MUCAPES ABOVE 2500 J/KG
   TO S OF CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES AND WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WHICH SHOULD
   STILL BE WELL INLAND ACROSS ERN TX.
   
   ALTHOUGH UPPER SUPPORT WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK...AS TROUGH PASSES BY
    TO THE NORTH...THE SURFACE TO 6KM SHEAR OF 40-50KT SUPPORTS
   POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BY MID AFTERNOON DEVELOPING
   VICINITY SURFACE BOUNDARIES.  GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
   INSTABIILTY...SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE ENHANCING PRIMARILY LARGE HAIL
   THREAT.  
   
   STORMS COULD EVOLVE INTO A SEVERE MCS AND TRACK EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
   GULF COAST WED NIGHT WHERE BEST INSTABILITY WILL RESIDE.  FURTHER
   INLAND IT APPEARS INSTABILITY WILL BE CONSIDRABLY WEAKER GIVEN THE
   LACK OF A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET AVAILABLE  FOR MOISTURE TRANSPORT
   
   ..HALES.. 04/06/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z