SPC AC 191729
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1229 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2004
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM INL 60
   S DLH 25 ESE VOK 35 NW CGX 40 NE BMI 30 WNW SPI 10 NNW IRK 25 ESE
   OMA 15 ESE YKN 35 NNW 9V9 30 NNE MBG 65 NNW DVL.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NE CMX 40 N GRB 35
   NE MKG 25 NNE MTC ...CONT... 10 WSW GLS 45 SE POE 30 ESE MCB 45 S
   SEM 35 ENE CSG 10 NNW AHN 25 NNE SPA 40 SSW BLF 25 SSE JKL 45 NW CSV
   10 NE HOP 30 SSE BLV 15 ENE JEF 25 SSW OJC 15 NNE P28 60 SW GAG 50 S
   LBB P07 ...CONT... 45 W FHU 40 WNW SAD PRC 55 NW BLH BFL SAC 35 NW
   MHS 60 SW RDM 45 SW S80 GTF 65 ENE HVR.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO IL...
   
   ...NRN PLAINS TO IL...
   
   UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE ROCKIES WILL FLATTEN ACROSS THE NRN
   PLAINS AS SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE ACROSS MT...THEN TURN
   SEWD TOWARD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY REGION.  THESE FEATURES
   ARE NOT PARTICULARLY WELL DEFINED BUT LIKELY WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL
   CLUSTERS OF LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT FEW
   DAYS.
   
   THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR A LOW LEVEL
   BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM SD...SEWD INTO IA AND IL WITH WEAK WARM
   ADVECTION ATOP THIS ZONE DUE TO VEERED FLOW THROUGH MID LEVELS.  WLY
   COMPONENT WILL PROVIDE STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT FOR
   ENHANCED THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES.  BY LATE AFTERNOON...MODERATE
   INSTABILITY SHOULD EVOLVE WITHIN WARM ADVECTION ZONE WHERE THERE
   APPEARS TO BE AN ENHANCED PROBABILITY FOR INITIATION JUST EAST OF
   SFC LOW FROM SRN SD/SRN MN INTO NRN IA.  THIS OF COURSE IS
   PREDICATED ON DAY1 MCS ACTIVITY NOT DISPERSING AVAILABLE INSTABILITY
   THROUGH EARLY MORNING PRECIPITATION AND RESIDUAL LATE MORNING CLOUD
   COVER. OTHERWISE...PERSISTENT WARM ADVECTION MAY RESULT IN EPISODIC
   ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS MAINLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
   EARLY MORNING HOURS.  DAMAGING WINDS OR PERHAPS LARGE HAIL WILL BE
   THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS.
   
   ..DARROW.. 07/19/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0800Z