Aug- 6-2004 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Aug 6 07:00:32 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20040806 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20040806 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 060655
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0155 AM CDT FRI AUG 06 2004
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W
   RRT 55 W AXN 15 NNE YKN 30 WNW OFK 30 NW EAR 35 NNW IML 10 SW AIA 40
   N CDR 25 ESE REJ 40 SSW DIK 70 NNE OLF.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW CTY 50 SE JAX.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW IWD 30 S LSE 15
   ESE OTM 10 NE FLV 40 SSW ICT 40 SW END 45 SSE CDS 35 WNW ABI DRT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S GBN 40 NW PHX 25
   SSE GCN 50 ESE PGA 15 NW CEZ 25 SE MTJ 40 SSW 4FC 15 N FCL 55 N CYS
   55 S 81V 35 SSW MLS 80 NW GGW.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE ACY 35 WSW ABE
   40 NE ROC.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW BML PSM.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NORTHERN PLAINS...
   
   A RATHER VIGOROUS MID-SUMMER TROUGH TOPS THE WRN RIDGE ON SATURDAY
   AS A COLD UPPER LOW MOVES SLOWLY EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. A COLD
   FRONT PRECEED BY A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS NRN HIGH
   PLAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF
   UPPER TROUGH ALONG CANADIAN BORDER. 
   
   SLY FLOW OF MDTLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF SURFACE TROUGH
   WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS TO SUPPORT ACTIVE CONVECTION BY
   AFTERNOON.  STEEP LAPSE RATES AND THE COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
   ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH SUGGESTS THAT LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY
   IN THE MOST VIGOROUS STORMS. STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
   TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS SURFACE TROUGH DURING THE EVENING WITH THE
   APPROACH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF AN
   MCS ACROSS ND/NRN SD SATURDAY NIGHT.  ASSOCIATED WITH MCS FORMATION
   WOULD BE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASE IN WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL SATURDAY
   EVENING.
   
   ..HALES.. 08/06/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z