Sep-29-2004 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Sep 29 07:36:31 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20040929 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20040929 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 290733
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0233 AM CDT WED SEP 29 2004
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM INK 35
   W HOB 35 WSW CVS 40 SSW CAO 30 SSW EHA 35 WNW GAG 30 SE GAG 25 SSE
   LTS 45 N ABI 40 WNW SJT INK.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW DMN 25 SSE INW
   35 ESE SGU 55 NNE DRA 45 WNW DRA 20 ENE NID 30 ENE BFL 15 SSE MER 50
   NNW SAC MHS 45 NE LMT 55 WSW BOI 45 W BTM 30 WNW 3HT 65 W MLS 40 SSW
   REJ 50 NNE PIR 30 SSW HIB 55 SE DLH 15 ENE EAU 10 E FOD 25 SE MKC
   FSM 65 NNE CLL 25 W LRD.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW AQQ 45 NNE MGR
   40 SSE AHN 45 NW AHN 25 SSW TYS 40 WSW BLF 15 NW SHD 25 ENE SBY.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
   TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING....
   
   CORRECTED FOR SECOND PARAGRAPH OF TEXT DISCUSSION.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FLOW REGIME ACROSS THE CONUS WILL GRADUALLY AMPLIFY THROUGH LATE
   TOMORROW AS A SRN STREAM TROUGH /NOW OVER THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY/
   EJECTS EWD OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TOWARD OK/KS LATE...WHILE A DEEP
   NRN STREAM TROUGH DIGS SEWD TO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.  CYCLOGENESIS
   WILL OCCUR IN THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WHICH WILL INDUCE SLY
   FLOW AND NWD MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. THE
   COMBINATION OF INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BENEATH STEEP MID LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES...ALONG WITH INCREASING WINDS/VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD
   SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TOMORROW
   AFTERNOON/EVENING.  ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WIND EVENTS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS.  ELEVATED
   CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SPREAD NEWD ACROSS OK/KS TOMORROW
   NIGHT...WITH THE THREAT OF SOME HAIL.
   
   LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE MARGINAL FARTHER N...THOUGH STEEP LAPSE
   RATES AND ASCENT ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ACROSS NEB/SD...AND THE
   LEE TROUGH ACROSS THE KS/CO BORDER...MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS
   DURING THE AFTERNOON EVENING.
   
   ..THOMPSON.. 09/29/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z