Oct-15-2004 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Oct 15 07:12:42 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041015 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20041015 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 150707
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0207 AM CDT FRI OCT 15 2004
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE HRO MKL 45 NE
   HSV ANB 0A8 JAN TXK PGO 55 SSE HRO.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE HVR GCC CPR
   LND IDA 60 NNW BOI PUW 40 NE 63S.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PBG 10 NE MSV
   MRB PKB 10 SSW MFD 45 W CLE.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...AR/LA/TN/MS/AL...
   LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
   GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST STATES ON SATURDAY...WITH ANOTHER TROUGH
   MOVING INTO CA.  FAST WESTERLY FLOW AND WEAK UPPER RIDGING WILL BE
   PRESENT OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.
   THIS PATTERN WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
   WINDS OVER TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY...TRANSPORTING GULF MOISTURE
   NORTHWARD AND POSING A RISK OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. 
   PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES...UPPER
   RIDGING...AND ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE A RISK OF
   ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS IN THIS AREA ON SATURDAY.
   
   ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON DAY2 UNDER COLD
   UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION...AND OVER PARTS OF
   THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.  SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED IN THESE
   REGIONS.
   
   ..HART.. 10/15/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z