SPC AC 190650
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0150 AM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM YKM EPH FCA 10 SE BIL
   CPR ASE 70 SE PGA GBN YUM NID FAT SAC 4LW BNO YKM.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BUF 10 SSE AOO LYH 25
   ESE OAJ ...CONT... 10 SSE PNS GWO JBR STL SPI BEH MTC.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   STRONG UPPER TROUGH NOW APPROACHING THE PACIFIC COAST WILL DEEPEN
   OVER THE WESTERN STATES ON WEDNESDAY.  MEANWHILE...UPPER RIDGING
   WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE MS/OH/TN VALLEY REGION...WHERE MOIST/UNSTABLE
   AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO BE PRESENT.  RATHER STRONG DAYTIME HEATING IS
   LIKELY ON DAY2 FROM OK EASTWARD INTO OH/KY...RESULTING IN AFTERNOON
   MLCAPE VALUES OVER 1000 J/KG.  HOWEVER...WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS AND
   UPPER RIDING SHOULD PROVIDE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FORCING MECHANISMS
   FOR DEEP CONVECTION.  FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MODERATELY
   STEEP LAPSE RATES APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR A CONDITIONAL THREAT OF
   HAIL/WIND IN THE OH/TN VALLEYS.  CONFIDENCE IN ORGANIZED
   THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LOW...SO WILL ONLY OUTLOOK LOW SEVERE
   PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..HART.. 10/19/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z