SPC AC 050528
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 PM CST THU NOV 04 2004
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM VBG PMD TRM 25 WSW
YUM.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNW EYW PBI.
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH PERIOD WILL FEATURE BROAD TROUGH
OVER ERN CANADA AND NERN CONUS...MEAN RIDGE FROM N-CENTRAL MEX
ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES...AND PRONOUNCED CYCLONE OVER CA. LATTER
FEATURE IS PRESENTLY CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE MRY BAY...AND SHOULD
BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND SOMETIME MID-LATE PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...LOW
LEVEL THETAE ADVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS COASTAL SRN CA -- AND PERHAPS
CA/MEX BORDER -- MAY LEAD TO ENOUGH DESTABILIZATION TO SUPPORT
OCCASIONAL THUNDER. MEANWHILE...LOW-AMPLITUDE PERTURBATION ALOFT --
NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER NEB/NERN KS...SHOULD
MOVE SEWD AND AMPLIFY SOMEWHAT AS IT APCHS FL. FRONTAL ZONE NOW
SWEEPING EWD ACROSS ATLANTIC OFFSHORE WATERS AND SEWD OVER NRN FL
SHOULD STALL...RESULTING IN BROAD/DIFFUSE FRONTAL ZONE OVER FL
STRAITS AND EXTREME S FL. LARGE SCALE ASCENT INCREASING LATE IN
PERIOD...COMBINED WITH PROXIMITY TO LOW LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE...MAY
RESULT IN ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THUNDER OVER PORTIONS SRN FL AND
ADJACENT WATERS.
..EDWARDS.. 11/05/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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