Nov- 5-2004 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 5 05:32:34 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041105 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20041105 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 050528
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1128 PM CST THU NOV 04 2004
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM VBG PMD TRM 25 WSW
   YUM.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNW EYW PBI.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH PERIOD WILL FEATURE BROAD TROUGH
   OVER ERN CANADA AND NERN CONUS...MEAN RIDGE FROM N-CENTRAL MEX
   ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES...AND PRONOUNCED CYCLONE OVER CA.  LATTER
   FEATURE IS PRESENTLY CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE MRY BAY...AND SHOULD
   BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND SOMETIME MID-LATE PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...LOW
   LEVEL THETAE ADVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS COASTAL SRN CA -- AND PERHAPS
   CA/MEX BORDER -- MAY LEAD TO ENOUGH DESTABILIZATION TO SUPPORT
   OCCASIONAL THUNDER.  MEANWHILE...LOW-AMPLITUDE PERTURBATION ALOFT --
   NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER NEB/NERN KS...SHOULD
   MOVE SEWD AND AMPLIFY SOMEWHAT AS IT APCHS FL. FRONTAL ZONE NOW
   SWEEPING EWD ACROSS ATLANTIC OFFSHORE WATERS AND SEWD OVER NRN FL
   SHOULD STALL...RESULTING IN BROAD/DIFFUSE FRONTAL ZONE OVER FL
   STRAITS AND EXTREME S FL.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT INCREASING LATE IN
   PERIOD...COMBINED WITH PROXIMITY TO LOW LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE...MAY
   RESULT IN ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THUNDER OVER PORTIONS SRN FL AND
   ADJACENT WATERS.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 11/05/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z