Nov-24-2004 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Nov 24 06:16:51 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041124 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20041124 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 240611
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1211 AM CST WED NOV 24 2004
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW PIE 40 NNW
   DAB.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E ILM 25 WSW WAL
   30 WNW DOV 25 E HGR 10 WNW AOO BFD 55 NNE ROC.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...NEW ENGLAND...
   
   INTENSE 12HR 500MB HEIGHT FALLS...ON THE ORDER OF 180M...WILL
   DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE NERN U.S. AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER
   TROUGH DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD. RESULTANT LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG
   WITH DEEPENING SFC LOW SHOULD LIFT QUICKLY NEWD ACROSS UPSTATE NY
   INTO SERN QUEBEC...ALLOWING TRAILING COLD FRONT TO SWEEP ACROSS THE
   REMAINDER OF NEW ENGLAND BY 06Z.  IT APPEARS STRENGTH OF UPPER
   SYSTEM WILL ENHANCE DEEP CONVECTIVE THREAT AHEAD OF SFC
   BOUNDARY...BUT THIS ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP WITHIN MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
   ENVIRONMENT...AND LIKELY BE ELEVATED IN NATURE.  FORECAST
   THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES DO NOT SUPPORT A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORMS AND PROBABILITIES WILL REMAIN BELOW 5 PERCENT AT THIS
   TIME.
   
   ..DARROW.. 11/24/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z