SPC AC 280836
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 AM CST WED JAN 28 2004
VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
PROGRESSIVE SPLIT FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS
THE LOWER 48...WITH DOMINANT NRN STREAM JET EXPECTED TO SAG A BIT
FARTHER S ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW AND NRN RCKYS. MAIN PART OF SRN
STREAM IMPULSE NOW OVER CA SHOULD BE OVER CNTRL MEXICO AT THE START
OF THE DAY 3 PERIOD. TO ITS N...A WEAK EXTENSION OF THE MEXICAN
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY REACH NE ACROSS FAR S TX INTO NWRN GULF.
SURFACE WAVE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WRN GULF ON THURSDAY
SHOULD CONTINUE ENE ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF ON FRIDAY...REACHING THE
AREA WELL S OF THE PENSACOLA OR MOBILE BAY EARLY SATURDAY. THE WAVE
SHOULD REMAIN WEAK AS UPPER SYSTEM WILL BE SHEARING E INTO CONFLUENT
FLOW PATTERN ALONG THE S ATLANTIC CST.
A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY GRAZE THE LA/MS CST EARLY IN THE PERIOD...
BUT LIMITED LARGE SCALE ASCENT/INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE
STRONG/WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE GULF CST REGION
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED POST-
FRONTAL STORMS MAY OCCUR FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF STRONG NRN STREAM
DISTURBANCE OVER THE PACIFIC NW.
..CORFIDI.. 01/28/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
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