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Apr- 6-2004 1200 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1200 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
      
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1200 Day 3 Prob Graphic
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   SPC AC 060929
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0429 AM CDT TUE APR 06 2004
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WRN TX...
   
   ....WRN TX...
   
   TROUGH/COLD POOL ALOFT OVER SERN AZ/SWRN NM AT 12Z THU TRANSLATES
   EWD INTO WRN TX THU NIGHT.  WEAK LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS LEE OF SRN
   ROCKIES DURING THE DAY WHICH TURNS BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS TO S/SELY
   OVER WRN TX DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS WITH 30KT LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPING
   SWRN TX/TX PANHANDLE THU EVENING.
   
   LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH WILL STILL BE IN S TX BEGINNING OF PERIOD
   WILL SPREAD NWD THRU SWRN TX PRIMARILY E OF PECOS RIVER DURING
   AFTERNOON AND INCREASING OVERNIGHT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW LEVEL
   JET.  VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES 8-9 C/KM SPREAD EWD ACROSS RISK AREA
   DURING AFTERNOON AND WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASE WILL RESULT IN
   AIRMASS BECOMING MODERATELY UNSTABLE MORE SO IN SRN PORTION RISK
   AREA VS NRN PORTION.  
   
   WITH TROUGH/COLD POOL MOVING INTO WRN TX MAINLY AFTER 00Z...SUPPORT
   FOR STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE DURING
   AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO NIGHTTIME HOURS.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR
   EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 30KT SUGGESTS THAT SEVERE THREAT WOULD LIMITED
   IN AREAL COVERAGE.
   
   ..HALES.. 04/06/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
        
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