SPC AC 080845
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CDT WED SEP 08 2004
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NRN PLAINS...
STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL QUICKLY SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE NRN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS FRIDAY...WITH BOTH ETA AND GFS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT.
THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO AID IN DEVELOPING A SURFACE LOW ALONG SSEWD
MOVING COLD FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL SD FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
APPEARS PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS MAY BECOME QUITE WARM WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES REACHING WELL INTO THE UPPER 80S OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL/WRN NEB INTO SD. THIS WILL LIKELY SUPPORT A DEEPLY MIXED
AND RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF THE FRONT INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
50S RESULTING IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY. THIS HEATING WILL LIKELY MIX
THROUGH CAP AND ALLOW WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FROM
WRN NEB INTO CENTRAL/ERN DAKOTAS LATE IN THE DAY. OTHER STORMS MAY
DEVELOP INTO ERN ND/NRN MN INVOF STRONGER ASCENT AHEAD OF
APPROACHING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. ISOLATED STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY STRONGER STORMS...AND WILL THEREFORE FORECAST
LOW PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
..EVANS.. 09/08/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1100Z
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