SPC AC 161027
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0527 AM CDT SAT OCT 16 2004
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ON MONDAY OVER PARTS OF THE MID
   MS AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...
   
   ETA/GFS SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW FAST ZONAL FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL
   UNITED STATES ON MONDAY.  MAIN SURFACE LOW SHOULD BE OVER EASTERN KS
   BY AFTERNOON...WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE OH
   VALLEY.  WARM/MOIST AIRMASS IS FORECAST OVER THE WARM SECTOR WITH
   DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AND AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG. 
   ETA AND GFS GUIDANCE DIFFER IN TIMING OF UPPER FEATURES AND LOCATION
   OF LOW LEVEL JET.  HOWEVER...PRESENT INDICATIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
   FOR A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING NEAR
   LOW/DRYLINE OVER PARTS OF IA/MO/IL/AR...AND ALONG WARM FRONT
   EASTWARD INTO IND/OH/KY.  VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST A RISK OF
   SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.  PORTIONS OF THIS AREA MAY
   REQUIRE AN UPGRADE IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
   
   ..HART.. 10/16/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1100Z